David Lin 发布 2026-09-23
《Why Bonds Could Trigger Next '1987' Style Stock Market Crash | Larry McDonald》
$MET看跌
若利率上升，MET因其对私人信贷和CMBS持仓的敞口，可能面临50%的下跌。
像 Metife 这样的公司，我们认为 Metife 可能下跌 50%，如果利率再稍微上升一点，因为它们是持有者，是我们所说的接盘者。它们持有这些糟糕的私募信贷。它们持有所有这些债券，它们持有大量商业抵押贷款支持证券，如果利率上升，债券价格下跌，那么金融板块就会出现巨额亏损。
companies like Metife, we think Metife could drop 50%. if rates go up a little bit more because they're hold they're what we call the bag holders. They're holding this nasty private credit.
They're holding all these bonds on they're holding a lot of commercial mortgage back securities and if interest rates go up bond prices go down and then there just massive amount of losses on in the financials.