Verified Investing发布 2026-09-04
《Shocker! Jobs Report Hits Markets, Fed Rate Hike? Markets, Gold, Bitcoin Sell》
$PSX看跌
PSX面临下行风险，因裂解价差收窄；预计未来几个月将回调至200美元出头。
像瓦莱罗能源和PSX这样的炼油商现在有巨大的裂解价差，这太荒谬了，因为他们简直是在印钱，因为他们的利润率如此之高，就像他们在加油站向你和我收取的驾驶等费用，与他们购买石油的成本相比。
现在这非常巨大。我确实预计劳动节后这会缩小，我已经将瓦莱罗能源列为未来几周我最喜欢的做空标的之一。
you have refiners like Valero and PSX which have a massive crack spread right now and it's so ridiculous because they are literally printing money because the the margins of this are so like what they're charging you and I to drive etc at the gas pump compared to what they're getting that oil for. Um it is massive right now. I do expect that to shrink after Labor Day and I have highlighted Valero as one of my favorite shorts here over the next couple weeks.
另一件要注意的是PSX，即菲利普斯66，抱歉，昨天它出现了日线级别的顶部长上影线。所以这是一个很好的反转见顶信号。你看到了顶部上影线。我们知道这张图表已经过度延伸，裂解价差应该会缩小，这意味着他们的利润率应该会下降。
他说在等