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$SEVerified Investing发布 2026-08-25
Yields Drop Ahead Of PCE And NVDA Earnings Tomorrow
SE若连续两日收盘价突破130.19美元则看涨,目标183美元。
看涨

接下来,让我们进行一些教育。我知道我已经多次谈论突破回踩和跌破回踩,因为它们经常发生,而且我在这场节目中已经反复说过,但各位,让我们看看这在SE的图表上是如何运作的。这将帮助你控制情绪。

当你看到一个图表设置,价格进入一个漂亮的水平,你很喜欢并买入,然后地毯被抽走,价格下滑。如果你交易时间足够长,这种情况最终会发生在你身上。你必须控制情绪,找到下一个支撑位,理解主要趋势线可能被突破,但突破发生时它会给你信息,因为价格通常想要回到那条趋势线。

就像SE图表上发生的情况一样。现在,让我们缩小图表,展示从2024年1月低点以来的上升平行通道。注意我们如何触及底部,触及顶部,然后直线下跌,在突破前盘整,然后看看这个漂亮的回踩。

如果你在这里,像我一样,看到这个巨大的下跌,这可能是一个很好的买入机会。但突然之间,你不仅从111美元下跌,你跌到了80。瞬间损失超过20%。你该怎么办?你必须制定一个计划,找到最终目标。

看看这个,记住图表上的这个。大的跌破,熊旗跌破,跌到支撑位,然后从那里上涨,回到测试这个上升平行通道,这个通道跨越数年。现在有趣的是,现在正在发生的是,你看到这条水平趋势线,价格被拒绝。

看看今天发生的漂亮的一天,价格推高,瞄准再次攻击并进入这个平行通道的底部。现在,如果成功做到这一点,突破这条水平通道或水平趋势线,将形成一个头肩形态,触发目标测量移动,到达这个平行通道的50%区域,略高于180美元,在183美元。

这是一个大动作。SE能否突破这条颈线,位于130.19美元,连续两个日线收盘并延伸,那将触发测量移动到达183美元。像机器人一样交易很重要。当价格对你不利时不要惊慌。要留意,找到另一个支撑位,在图表上回放时间,甚至不用斐波那契或趋势线。

看看这个,如果我回放时间,我可以看到所有这一切。看看所有这些枢轴点,看看所有这些盘整,这正是价格在卖出时刹车并再次尝试进入平行通道底部范围的地方。非常酷的东西。保持心态,这样你就能在下一个设置中站在正确的一边。

Now, next up, let's get into some little a little bit of education. Now, I know I've talked a lot about breakout retraces, breakdown retraces, because they happen and they happen over and I've said this already in this show over and over and over, but guys, let's watch and check how this works on the chart of SE. This will help you tame your emotions, guys. When you see a chart set up, price is coming into a beautiful level and you love it and you buy it and then the rug's pulled right from underneath you, price slips. This can and will happen to you eventually. If you trade long enough, you got to keep your emotions in check, find the next support level, understand major trend lines can be broken, but it gives you information when that happens because price generally wants to come back to that trend line. Much like what has happened here on the chart of SE. Now, let's back out on this chart to show you this inclining parallel channel back here from the January of 2024 lows. Notice how we hit the bottom, hit the top, then came straight down, consolidated before we broke, and then look at this nice retrace. Now, if you were here, much like me, seeing this huge decline, this could have been a nice buying opportunity. But then all of a sudden, whoop, now you're down, not only from $111, you're down here to 80. Sub 20% gone right there with a flash right on your charts. What do you do? Well, you got to get a plan together to find the ultimate destination that's going to occur. Look at this, remember this on your chart. Big breakdown, bear flag breakdown, came down to support, and then up, up, and away from there, back to retest this inclining parallel channel, one that spans several years. Now, the interesting part now, what's going on now, is that you see this horizontal trend line where price was rejected. Look at the beautiful day that's occurring today, pushing back up, angling for another attack and entry into the bottom of this parallel channel. Now, a successful move doing this, getting above this horizontal channel or a horizontal trend line, will create a head and shoulders pattern that will trigger with a targeted measured move at the 50% area of this parallel channel just above $180 at $183. This is a big move on the horizon. Can SE get above this neckline right here at $130.19, put in two consecutive daily closes with extension, and that does trigger the measured move up here to $183. It's important to trade like a robot. Don't freak out when your price goes against you. Be mindful, find another level of support, rewind the clock back on the chart without even doing fibs or trend lines. Look at this, if I just rewind time, I can see all the way back here. Look at all these pivots, look at all this consolidation, and that's exactly where price put on the brakes when selling and made another attempt at this bottom range of the parallel channel. Very cool stuff there, guys. Keep your mind in check, that way you'll be on the right side of the trade on your next one setup.

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