$SMH

SMH is a leading indicator for bullish activity, but it is declining into its long-term parallel channel; support at $526.10, confirmation of breakdown on a daily close below $546.75.

BearishHe framed it in days
“Yields Drop On Treasury TGA Buyback Dialogue As Dollar Bounces”
Verified InvestingPublished Aug 24 · 1 passage

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Next up, the SMH also declined. Now, this one heavier than the other indices that we've covered so far. You can see down 2.43% on the SMH today. Nice decline, but look what happened, and I did highlight this last week, guys.

I've been drilling at home with the SMH saying, "Guys, the longer-term patterns, as well as the semis, are leading indicators, so pay attention to both in the semis. Our long-term inclining parallel that we've got displayed on our chart, and then plus this is a leading indicator for bullish activity, but we're getting close to another bounce level on certain memory plays.

Something that we're going to cover a little bit later in the show. First off, let's look at this SMH dropping down back into this parallel channel. For any viewers who have not seen this or to remind the ones that have, this parallel began back here at the liberation day lows back in April of 2025.

You can see with this fall that we had here in July of this year, we actually pierced got inside of it, but only four or five trading days and we quickly bounced to get right back above.

So, the big news story of the day today is right here on this chart with the SMH getting back within that parallel channel. Next support, should the selling presume in into tomorrow resume into tomorrow, it's going to be at $526.10 on the chart.

Very nice entry back into this parallel, one that could be hard to confirm without coming down and tagging support. Confirming it would be a daily close under today's low at $546.75.

So, I'm going to be watching the SMH very, very closely tomorrow.

Watchpoints

daily close relative to $546.75

What this channel has said about $SMH

Verified Investing has 8 calls on this stock; only the adjacent ones are shown.

2026-08-26
Most importantly, I'm gauging bullish sentiment with this chart right here, the SMH, guys. And the SMH, as you see here, finished basically flat on the day, down .01%. Now, after hours, slipping just ever so slightly in anticipation of these Nvidia earnings.
Quote at 02:46 ›
Direction flip
2026-08-24BearishThis one
Next up, the SMH also declined. Now, this one heavier than the other indices that we've covered so far. You can see down 2.43% on the SMH today. Nice decline, but look what happened, and I did highlight this last week, guys. I've been drilling at home with the SMH saying, "Guys, the longer-term patterns, as well as the semis, are leading indicators, so pay attention to both in the semis. Our long-term inclining parallel that we've got displayed on our chart, and then plus this is a leading indicator for bullish activity, but we're getting close to another bounce level on certain memory plays. Something that we're going to cover a little bit later in the show. First off, let's look at this SMH dropping down back into this parallel channel. For any viewers who have not seen this or to remind the ones that have, this parallel began back here at the liberation day lows back in April of 2025. You can see with this fall that we had here in July of this year, we actually pierced got inside of it, but only four or five trading days and we quickly bounced to get right back above. So, the big news story of the day today is right here on this chart with the SMH getting back within that parallel channel. Next support, should the selling presume in into tomorrow resume into tomorrow, it's going to be at $526.10 on the chart. Very nice entry back into this parallel, one that could be hard to confirm without coming down and tagging support. Confirming it would be a daily close under today's low at $546.75. So, I'm going to be watching the SMH very, very closely tomorrow.
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