$SMH

SMH broke out three times recently but hits resistance at 607.58; a pullback to the channel top is anticipated as the next buy zone.

He framed it in days
“Nasdaq Hits All-Time High as AI Hardware Surge Drives Tech”
Verified InvestingPublished Sep 22 · 3 passages

Jump to any passage

3 passages

After that, the SMH index continued its strong upward trend today. Look at this. This breakthrough that occurred is unbelievable. Three breakouts have occurred in the last four trading days on the SMH index.

You can see two of them . First, this downward trend line from its all- time highs down to the price. We had attempted the hack and failed in the previous two attempts , but this time the hack was confirmed on Friday of last week.

Then on Monday, as you can see, we broke above this parallel upward trend . And today the breakout was confirmed from it, in addition here on the 50-day moving average. We have also confirmed the move above the 50-day moving average, and we did so yesterday.

So we have three major breakouts on a single chart in the last four trading days for the SMH index.

Note that we are facing direct resistance today at the 607.58 level. You might be wondering, where did you get this level of resistance from, Drew? Okay, it's simple, guys. You have these tools.

You can do it yourselves too. Look what I did. I used the Fibonacci tool, and it climbed to the top, then dropped to a recent low on July 29. And here is the result. Right at the 618 Fibonacci retracement level.

We have seen a massive rally. Based on that , look at where we are on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). We are approaching the 70 threshold. This explains why we are in the " overbought" zone in the near term.

We haven't gotten there yet , but we have encountered a significant level of resistance. This level should be able to provide a slight pullback, if not a halt in price here. What I would ideally like to see is , what are we talking about on this program, guys?

We talk about penetration corrections all the time. I would like to see this breakout make a good correction down to the top of the parallel channel. In this case, that would be the first opportunity to buy these stocks as the upward trend continues on the charts.

Watchpoints

price action relative to the 607.58 resistance level

What this channel has said about $SMH

Verified Investing has 12 calls on this stock; only the adjacent ones are shown.

2026-09-22This one
After that, the SMH index continued its strong upward trend today. Look at this. This breakthrough that occurred is unbelievable. Three breakouts have occurred in the last four trading days on the SMH index.
2026-09-21Bullish
Now, what could give the Q's in the S SNP 500 more room to run is what's occurring here on the SMH. Just like on the cues, guys, look at this gap up over resistance. Resistance that on Friday was in play. The top of this old parallel channel and we just gapped up over it. Instead, we actually sold down and caught support on the top of it this morning and then rallied all the way up, pushing through this gap fill from August 17th. Now, here's where everything gets a little bit more interesting. Actually, before I flip that on, let me highlight the fact of this declining trend line right here that you see from the all-time highs on the SMH back on June 22nd. Notice how when I drew this, I drew it down to the next pivot. Notice how when price came up again, it attempted to go through, did not close above on the very next attempt, we actually got through. And then the following day, we didn't succeed in pushing higher, getting extension and away from that declining trend line. So, in turn, price just found its way going right back down. another one day up and then we had three days down. Now we have three days in consecutive pushing order upward on the chart. This is the first time this has happened since the all-time highs. So right here, this is a big change in character. We're now starting to confirm a breakout from this declining trend line. Then when I flip over the simple moving averages, guys, the blue is the 50-day moving average. This is the first time as well that we've gotten now two daily candles pushing up consecutively and closing above that 50 simple moving average. Now guys, what this does is it turns on the buy switch for a lot of other institutions, a lot of which refrain from buying any sort of stock or index until price action can get properly above the 50-day moving average. Now, there's a couple more moves that are required for more institutions to hop on board, and that would be this yellow 20 moving average that's currently sitting at $55,960. If that were to get above the 50, and then that kickstarts even a bigger rally and push higher up on the SMH. Now, the SMH is, as you may recall, I've said this is my leading indicator. So, right now, I've got a positive signal telling me that we have a breakout on our hands. Now we watching for tomorrow on the breakout from this inclining parallel channel. Putting in a daily close higher than today would accomplish that next resistance 60758 from that point. Watch for any sort of uh retraces to the top of the parallel. That could be your buying opportunity to continue with this rally. But be mindful of these moving averages and the details that I just went over for you on this chart to ensure we remain in bullish uh momentum when you're buying the SMH.
Quote at 02:51 ›
Direction flip
See full history ›
KOL Says