Ulta has strong September seasonality (up 72% of time) but is currently downtrending; bullish signal only if price clears 580 pivot.

So the first one that I would pull up is Alta. So Alta, if we go back and we look over the last 20 years, now that's going to include September of 2026. Well, this is being recorded in August, so there is no data in September, so it doesn't matter.

But let's just look at let's get rid of 2026. We'll just look at the last 20 years, 19 years in the case of Alta. And September has been up 72% of the time. SE 72% of September we've seen Alta advance.

That's almost three out of every four with November and March being the only two calendar months that go up more often for Alta than September. So that's a pretty good seasonal performance, right?

Now I look at the chart of Alta. Now I look at the chart here and I'm seeing a stock that's been downtrending. I see an AD line that's moving lower. So I'm not exactly excited here.

I think um this 580 area has been kind of a key pivot point. That's where we gapped up to back in December of 2025 before taking off. Then we gapped down below 580, went up and tested 580 twice, couldn't get through.

So, I don't really think Ulta it looks particularly strong until we get through 580. Now, if it can get through 580 either before or in the early stages of September, knowing the history of September, to me, that's an added bonus signal for uh a bull added bullish signal, I should say, for um Alta. So, that's something to look for.

So this is one worth watching but again it's going to depend on how the stock trades.