$SMH

SMH

VanEck Semiconductor ETF

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As of 09-13
09-11
Steve MillerPublished 2026-09-11
“askSlim Market Week Brief 09/11/26 - Analysis of Financial Markets”
$SMHBullish
SMH's overall cycle translation is positive/bullish; next rise has good odds to reach ~636 (78.6 fib).

if I hover over the dialogue box next to SMH, there's a note that tells us that the daily cycle might show strength because the synced trough might already be in place.

So this is a very early turn here right now in the SMH to just be monitoring right now. We haven't actually cleared any kind of range highs yet, but uh this is something to certainly be aware of.

Older record
Verified InvestingPublished 2026-09-11
“S&P At Record Highs While Semis Sit 15% Below — The Decoupling”
$SMHNo side taken
SMH shows relative strength but needs technical confirmation above key levels to sustain a rally toward $600+.

Right on the SMH, SMH comp uh performing extremely well compared to the Q's and the S&P up around 2%, guys. Not quite filled that gap from Wednesday, right? But a 2% move up uh is not too shabby for uh the semiconductor industry, right?

And speaking of downs sloping trend lines, we have this really, really key downstoping trend line that we just broke above today. You can see we've tested it here, here, here, broke above it, right?

Actually opened up above it, came back down, right? Went below, retested it, and now are looking to potentially break above it.

Older record
09-09
Verified InvestingPublished 2026-09-09
“$6 Billion Wasn't Enough: Yields Surge as Bessent Buyback Flops”
$SMHNo side taken
SMH shows near-term positive structure by exiting and holding above an inclining parallel channel, but lacks confirmation as it failed to break yesterday's high or sustain a move above the 50-day moving average; currently on the edge of potential upside.

Uh next up into the SMH. And guys, I remind you as I do nearly every day, the SMH is my leading indicator. And what were we looking for today? We were looking for price to get up above yesterday's highs and close.

Well, we didn't get that to accomplish on the charts. Cleanly, as you see here, is the daily candle. Yesterday's high was up here at $58057. We didn't even breach that level on intraday trading.

Older record
09-08
Verified InvestingPublished 2026-09-08
“Bloom Energy S&P 500 Addition & Macro Breakouts”
$SMHNo side taken
SMH leads risk-on sentiment; current breakout may face rejection unless confirmed by daily closes above the 50-day MA.

Next up into the SMH. Now, this is really where the story is, guys, and I've told you guys this for a long time. The SMH, the semis, they lead the way. They illustrate how much risk-on appetite there is in the growth sector with these semiconductors, especially with this AI data center build-out.

Older record
BenzingaPublished 2026-09-08
“Oil Tops $99! Iran, CPI Fears Hit Stocks | PreMarket Playbook + T3 Live | September 8, 2026”
$SMHBullish
SMH bull thesis: closing above the 50-day MA triggers a multi-day rally.

Interestingly enough, SMH, we've actually been watching SMH and IGV. Some days it seems like the hardware gets pounded and the software trades all right and then the next day it's reversed.

So, we've been kind of looking at both of those. The SMH here, this looked to me like it was button up against the 50. Now, today I know it's early. It's still in the pre-market. We're trading above the 50 here.

09-07
Steve MillerPublished 2026-09-07
“REPLAY - US Stock Market SPX & NDX Cycle & Chart Analysis With Projections”
$SMHNo side taken
SMH faces a short-term decline over the next two weeks, followed by a likely upward move in Q4.

Now, I'm going to move on here to the SMH index. What did you say about SMH? We received a request regarding SMH earlier in the program, and I said I would present it here.

Interestingly, I do n't usually analyze this indicator; Katie and RV are following this , and you can see that they were expecting this market to move downwards in this timeframe.

There was a previous low here that aligns with the earlier low I'm going to show you in the Nasdaq index, and as you can see, they have a signal indicating a possible drop again.

Older record
09-06
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