博通具备投资价值,因其盈利增长相对于估值较高;若AI销售额超过160亿美元,股价可能上涨。
逐段跳播
你对博通今天有何期待?我的意思是,预计会有显著增长,但你在等待哪些数字足以推动股价上涨?我认为这就是我的预期,市场收盘后我们将更清楚地了解将会发生什么。但即使他们实现了创纪录的数字,你也在与英伟达竞争,而英伟达的数字无论以何种标准衡量都令人惊叹。
因此,要超越它将非常困难。我认为这会给股票带来很大压力,因为他们的数字必须非常出色才能推高股价。从技术面来看,该股看起来沉重,似乎有什么东西在压制它。因此,我持谨慎乐观态度。
What do you expect from Broadcom today? I mean, significant growth is expected, but what are the numbers you're waiting for that will be enough to push stocks higher? You know, I think that's what I expect, and after the market closes we'll get a clearer picture of what's going to happen. But even if they achieve record numbers, you are competing against Nvidia, whose numbers have been amazing by all standards. Therefore, it will be very difficult to surpass that. I think this will put a lot of pressure on the stock, as their numbers will have to be phenomenal to push the stock up. From a technical perspective, the stock looks heavy. It looks as if something is weighing him down. Therefore, I am cautiously optimistic.
博通需要做些什么才能保持正轨,英伟达的巨额数字在多大程度上提高了人们对它们的期望?博通完全符合这一理论。我的意思是,他们是人工智能和“XPU”芯片领域领先的芯片供应商之一。我相信盈利增长与这只股票的估值之间存在真正的差距。
我的意思是,这只股票从大约470跌至大约370。因此,当每股收益增长60%且市盈率为19倍时,我认为存在机会,我还看到盈利、销售和收入预测略低于指引。因此,我认为在博通今晚公布财报之前,氛围已经确定且明朗。迈克,为什么市场不给博通更高的市盈率?
What does Broadcom need to do to stay on track, and to what extent have Nvidia's huge numbers raised expectations for them ? Broadcom is perfectly in line with this theory . I mean, they are one of the leading suppliers of chips in the field of artificial intelligence and "XPU" chips. I believe there is a real gap between earnings growth and the valuation of this stock. I mean, this stock has dropped from around 470 to around 370. So, when you have 60% earnings per share growth and it's trading at a P/E multiple of 19 , I think there's an opportunity, and what I also see is that the earnings, sales and revenue forecasts are slightly below the guidance. So, I think the atmosphere is set and straightforward ahead of Broadcom's report tonight. And Mike, why doesn't the market give Broadcom a higher multiplier?
嗯,第一季度有点令人失望,尤其是在指引方面。我认为人们期望更多。我的意思是,今晚最重要的数字是他们的AI半导体销售额。他们预测将达到约160亿美元。我认为市场共识预期实际上略低于此。
因此,如果他们能突破160亿美元大关,我认为股价将从这里上涨。
Well, the first quarter was a bit disappointing, especially with regard to guidance. I think people wanted more. I mean, the most important number to watch tonight is their sales of AI semiconductors. They predicted it would reach approximately $16 billion. I think the consensus expectations are actually a little lower than that . So, if they can break through the $16 billion mark, I think the stock will rise from here.
万斯,这个数字需要超出多少?我认为关于这是这里最重要的指标没有任何争议,你说得对,迈克,分析师的共识低于160亿,只是略低。但我们已经看到必须表现出优越性,而且在大多数情况下是极大的优越性。市场需要什么数字才能做出积极反应,万斯?
Vance, how much of an overshoot is required for this number? I don't think there's any argument about it being the most important metric here, and you're right, Mike , the consensus among analysts is less than 16 billion, just a little less . But we have already seen that there must be superiority, and in most cases, a great superiority . What number does the market need to react positively, Vance?
嗯,这很难猜测,但迈克是对的,他们对定制人工智能的需求非常高,而且实际上还在增长。我真的不知道那个数字会是多少,但我知道他们收盘后电话会议的语气以及他们呈现事物的方式,尤其是对定制AI的需求,正如迈克所说,非常好。
我认为这可能对推高股价产生重大影响。我希望那会发生。
Well, that's a difficult guess to make , but Mike is right, the demand for their custom artificial intelligence is very high and actually growing. I do n't really know what that number will be, but I know the tone of their call after the market closed and the way they presented things, especially the demand for custom AI, and as Mike said, it was very good. I think this could have a significant impact on pushing the stock upwards. And I hope that will happen.
戴尔有很多好消息,英伟达也有很多好消息。你必须选择一个,如果我必须选择,此时我会选择戴尔和英伟达而不是博通。迈克,博通已经谈到了本财年超过1000亿美元的AI收入,但我今天早上看到的一些备忘录预测在1300亿到1400亿美元之间。
我的意思是,这些预测有多现实?我们对他们今天将宣布的数字的预测是否过于仓促?
There is a lot of good news from Dell, and a lot of good news from Nvidia. You have to choose one, and if I had to choose, I would choose Dell and Nvidia over Broadcom at this point. Mike, Broadcom has already talked about more than $100 billion in AI revenue for the fiscal year, but some memos I saw this morning are calling for between $130 billion and $140 billion . I mean, how realistic are these predictions? Were we too hasty in our predictions for the figures they will announce today?
是的,我的意思是这是一个关键数字。是的,我的意思是那里的1000亿收入数字。所以……我的感觉是市场并不期待像1400亿那么高的数字。我认为他们应该确认1000亿的数字,也许在讨论中略高于此。
听着,在我看来,博通本季度应该超出其数字。他们的语气也应该是积极的,并且他们应该在随后的指引电话会议中强调AI热潮仍在继续,需求仍然存在。所以,是的,你知道,我只是觉得如果股价在470美元,预期就必须远高于此。
但以目前的估值,我认为如果他们能交出积极的结果,并超出共识指引,坦率地说,也超出他们自己的指引,那么我认为该股有从这里上涨的潜力。
Yes, I mean this is a key number. Yes, I mean that figure of 100 billion in revenue there. So...my feeling is that the market is not expecting a figure as high as $140 billion. I think they should confirm the 100 billion figure and perhaps go slightly above it in their discussions. Look, Broadcom should exceed its numbers in my opinion this quarter. Their tone should also be positive, and they should emphasize that the AI boom is still ongoing and that demand is still present in the guidance call that follows. So, yes , you know, I just think if the stock had been at $470, expectations would have had to go way above that . But at this current valuation, I think if they can just deliver positive results, and exceed the consensus guidance and, frankly, their own guidance, then I think the stock has the potential to rise from here.
他说在等什么
这个频道对 $AVGO 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。