$NVDA

英伟达(NVDA)的估值受到压制,因为投资者因循环融资安排带来的风险上升而惩罚该公司,这些安排被用于促进销售。

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Nvidia Stock Investors Need to Know These Circular Financing Details | NVDA Stock Deep Dive Part 4
Parkev Tatevosian, CFA发布 2026-09-03 · 13 段内容
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在一次以透明度为特点的意外举动中,英伟达披露了其与部分合作伙伴和客户达成的财务安排的更多细节。我认为投资者深入研究这些细节以更好地理解情况非常重要,因为这是英伟达股票投资者指出的最大风险之一,即循环融资安排的风险。

In an unexpected move characterized by transparency, Nvidia revealed additional details about the financial arrangements it is making with some of its partners and customers. I felt it was really important for investors to look into these details to better understand the situation, as it was one of the biggest risks that Nvidia stock investors pointed out, namely the risks of circular financing arrangements.

因此,英伟达解释了其与客户达成的一种安排。英伟达表示,它对设施产能的一部分提供“照付不议”承诺,即保证最低收入,这使贷款方有信心为项目提供资金,作为回报,英伟达分享NeoCloud超出该上限所获得的收入的一部分。

因此,独立资本仍然根据每笔交易的价值进行覆盖,英伟达不提供贷款,但通过暗示将购买NeoCloud的最低产能来降低整个安排的风险,从而帮助促成贷款。

Therefore, Nvidia explained one type of arrangement it makes with its customers. Nvidia says it offers a "buy or pay" commitment on a portion of the facility's capacity, a guaranteed minimum revenue that gives lenders the confidence to cover the project, and in return, we share in a portion of NeoCloud's revenue earned above that limit . Therefore, independent capital still covers each deal based on its merits, and Nvidia does not provide the loans, but helps facilitate the loan by reducing the risk of the entire arrangement by implying that it will purchase a minimum of capacity from Neo Cloud.

本质上,抵押品,即图形处理器,使贷款方更愿意提供贷款。因此,贷款方仍然是提供贷款的一方,英伟达只是在努力降低风险。作为降低风险的交换,英伟达有机会分享部分利润。因此,英伟达不仅提供了风险降低,还将其换取了一些潜在收益。这也有助于促进销售过程。

Essentially, the collateral , which is the graphics processing units , makes lenders more comfortable making that loan. So, the lenders are still the ones providing the loan, and Nvidia is just working to reduce the risks . In exchange for reducing the risks, Nvidia gets the opportunity to share in some of the profits. Therefore, Nvidia not only offers a reduction in risk , but also exchanges it for some potential gains. This also helps to facilitate the sales process.

这很有趣,因为人们对这类安排有很多担忧。我同意,如果你需要做出这种安排来促进销售,这个过程不如你把产品交给客户、客户给你钱那样好。交易是针对特定交易完成的。这些交易并不会在首次交换发生后结束。

存在长期安排,可能使销售变得更好或更差,取决于结果,而我们要到3个月、9个月或可能2年后才能知道。

So, this is interesting because there are a lot of concerns about these kinds of arrangements. I agree that if you need to make this kind of arrangement to facilitate a sale, this process is not as good a sale as one where you give the customer your product and he gives you money. A deal is finalized for that specific transaction. These transactions do not end once the exchange has taken place in the first place. There are long-term arrangements that may make the sale better or worse, depending on the outcome, and we will not know that until after 3 months, 9 months, or perhaps 2 years.

但英伟达表示,这种模式可以扩大其可寻址市场,并在其核心平台收入之外创造与重复使用相关的收入流,有可能在中长期产生数十亿美元的收入。

But Nvidia says this model could expand its scalable market and create a revenue stream linked to repeated use alongside its core platform revenue, with the potential to generate billions in revenue over the medium to long term.

因此,这给公司带来了显著的收益,但代价是承担更多风险,因为它提供这种支持并自担成本降低风险,对吗?因为当英伟达提供这些条款时,它要承担后果,不是吗?

So, it gives the company significant gains here in exchange for taking on more risk by providing that support and reducing risk at its own expense, right? Because when Nvidia offers these terms, it bears the consequences, doesn't it?

投资者给英伟达的估值较低,因为它承担了这种风险。英伟达提供这些条件以促进销售,投资者因此惩罚它,不是吗?

Investors are assigning a lower value to Nvidia because it is taking this risk. Nvidia is offering these conditions to facilitate the sale, and investors are punishing them for it, aren't they?

我的意思是,在最新报告发布后,股价上涨了10%,但相对而言,它跑输了许多同行,这些同行的股价上涨了百分之几百,而英伟达的业绩数字比那些公司好得多,不是吗?

I mean, after this latest report, the stock price jumped by 10%, but relatively speaking, it underperformed many of its peers that saw their stock prices jump by hundreds of percent, while Nvidia is achieving much better numbers than those companies, isn't it?

英伟达在最近结束的财年中实现了100%的收入增长,扩大了利润,增加了现金流,并显著改善了业务,但其股价在财报发布后的最新上涨之前仅上涨了低两位数。

Nvidia, in its recently ended fiscal year , achieved 100% revenue growth, expanded its profits, increased its cash flow, and significantly improved its business , but its stock price rose by only a low double digit , prior to this latest increase following the earnings results.

因此,英伟达希望介入,帮助促进现金流向这些公司的转移,以便它们能够继续投资于将为它们带来收入增长的产品和服务。

Therefore, Nvidia wants to step in to help facilitate the transfer of cash flow to these companies so that they can move forward with investing in products and services that will generate revenue growth for them .

英伟达这样做并非出于善意。这最终是一门生意。英伟达这样做是因为这些公司花钱的主要项目是英伟达的产品。因此,他们从贷款方、投资者和机构那里获得的资金越多,其中很大一部分直接流向英伟达。

因此,英伟达提供帮助不是因为它是慈善组织,而是因为流入这些公司的资本增加意味着更多资本流入英伟达。

Nvidia is not doing this out of the goodness of its heart. This is ultimately a business . Nvidia does this because the main thing these companies spend their money on is Nvidia products. So, the more money they get from lenders, investors and institutions, a lot of that money flows directly to Nvidia. Therefore, Nvidia helps not because it is a charitable organization , but because increased capital flowing into these companies means more of it flowing into Nvidia.

英伟达表示,它已经在尖端技术实验室投资了近500亿美元,并补充说,它唯一的遗憾是没有投资更多、更早开始。当然,这些公司的市值大幅增加,这意味着英伟达在这些投资中拥有巨大的潜在收益。

英伟达进行的大部分投资,无论是OpenAI、Anthropic、AMD、英特尔,还是它投资的任何其他实体,如新兴云等,其估值都大幅上升,为英伟达从这些投资中创造了利润。

Nvidia has stated that it has already invested nearly $50 billion in cutting-edge technology labs, adding that its only regret is that it did not invest more and start sooner. Of course, these companies have significantly increased their market value, which means that Nvidia has huge potential gains in these investments. Most of the investments made by Nvidia, whether in OpenAI, Anthropic, AMD, Intel, or any other entity it has invested in, such as emerging clouds and others, have seen a significant increase in their valuations, generating profits for Nvidia from these investments.

这并不意味着他们总能从这些投资中获利。这肯定使英伟达股票对投资者来说风险更大。这也降低了这些销售的质量,但我认为投资者理解这些关系的全貌、英伟达为何这样做以及可能产生的影响非常重要。

This does not mean that they will always make profits from these investments. This certainly makes Nvidia stock riskier for investors. It also diminishes the quality of these sales, but I think it's important for investors to understand the full scope of these relationships, why Nvidia is doing this, and what the implications may be.

这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-03看跌本条
在一次以透明度为特点的意外举动中,英伟达披露了其与部分合作伙伴和客户达成的财务安排的更多细节。
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2026-09-02看涨
我接下来要推荐并排名的顶级股票是Nvidia,我计算其公允价值为342美元。当前市场价格为220美元。
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