$NVDA

NVDA Vera Rubin 每 TCO 吞吐量较 GP300 高出 67 倍,并在代理工作负载中占据主导地位,是终极之选。

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《AI Compute Demand Could DOUBLE Again by 2027!!》
Jose Najarro Stocks发布 2026-09-18 · 6 段内容
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6 段内容
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以及一些影响 MetaPlatforms 和 Nvidia 的事情。

as well as some things affecting MetaPlatforms and Nvidia.

我投资于 Nvidia、AMD、Credo 和 Astera Labs 等公司,以及 Coreweave 等现代云计算公司。

I invest in companies such as Nvidia, AMD, Credo and Astera Labs, as well as modern cloud computing companies such as Coreweave and others.

现在,我想谈的最后一件事是 Nvidia。Nvidia 目前的市值是 5.3 万亿美元,约合 220 美元。Jensen 是真正的巨人,不是吗?Jensen 是 AI 世界的猛兽。

Now, the last thing I want to talk about is Nvidia. Nvidia's market capitalization is currently $5.3 trillion , which is about $220. Jensen is a real giant, isn't it? Jensen is a beast in the AI world .

我觉得有意思的是 9 月 14 日、大约四天前发布的一份报告,标题是《Genie Inference:每美元性能提升 67 倍》。他们表示 Jensen 又一次表现不佳,实现了每吉瓦年利润翻倍。你买得越多,赚得越多。

What I found interesting was a report published on September 14th, about four days ago, titled " Genie Inference: 67x Better Performance Per Dollar." They stated that Jensen is underperforming again, achieving double the annual profit per gigawatt. The more you buy, the more you earn.

总的来说,他们说的是 Jensen 再次大幅提升性能。而且重要的是,这一切都发生在预发布软件上,其代币生产力已经提升了六倍。每单位电力。根据他们的估算,Robin 每吉瓦产生的利润可以超过 Blackwell 平台的两倍。

大家都会买 Robin,对吧?Jensen 承诺了一些东西,这令人印象深刻,但工作负载展示了一个完全不同的场景,在那里你可以赚更多钱。所以,任何得到 Robin 的人都能要求更好的价格,因为他们可以获得更多代币,而这正是每个 Vera Robin 额外收入的来源。

overall, what they're saying is that Jensen is significantly improving performance again. And, importantly, all of this is happening on pre-release software , which is already seeing six times better token productivity.

For every unit of power. According to their estimates, Robin can generate more than double the profit per gigawatt of the Blackwell platform . Everyone will buy Robin, right? It's impressive that Jensen is promising something, but workloads show a completely different scenario where you can make more money.

So, anyone who gets Robin will be able to command better prices because they can acquire more tokens, and that's the source of the additional revenue for each Vera Robin.

他们还谈到了以代理工作负载为基准对 Vera Robin 的估值。而这正是我个人最喜欢的那种工作负载,不是吗?我认为整个市场现在都在转向代理工作负载。所以,即使这款芯片在推理方面表现出色,那也只是挑战的一小部分,不是吗?

挑战在于这种多阶段工作、长上下文、前缀的密集复用,以及子代理的流动。那就是代理工作负载,那就是市场趋势。所以,即使你有一款很棒的芯片——我是说,一款 OpenAI Jalapeño 芯片——如果你不运行代理工作负载推理,那才能展现全貌。

我相信很大一部分收入将来自它。因此,在选择你据以决策的性能指标时要小心。我认为目前评估任何细分领域的最佳指标是代理工作流,因为它是云计算提供商的真正收入来源。这并不意味着纯推理工作负载没有市场,那种不需要多阶段流程或大量工具调用的场景,但它不会是主要市场。

我相信主要市场将通过代理工作负载实现,而 Vera Rubin 显著优于其他性能指标,交付的结果远超任何其他可用解决方案。在性能与成本方面,Vera Rubin 相比 GP300 处理器是显著的改进。

与 GP300 Dynamics 处理器相比,Vera Rubin 在总拥有成本下提供 67 倍更高的总吞吐量。他们还有各种各样的代理推理工作负载。你可以看到 Nvidia 的 Vera Rubin 在吞吐量上的显著提升。

我真的很想展示这一点,因为 Nvidia 是终极选择。确实如此。

They also talk about their valuation of Vera Robin in terms of a proxy workload. And that's the kind of workload I personally enjoy the most , isn't it? I think the market as a whole is now moving towards proxy workloads.

So, even if the chip performs excellently in inference , that's only a small part of the challenge, isn't it? The challenge lies in this multi- stage work, the long context, the intensive reuse of prefixes , and the flow of sub-agents.

That 's proxy workload, and that's the market trend. So, even if you have a great chip—I mean, an OpenAI Jalapeño chip —if you don't run proxy workload inference, that's what shows the whole picture.

I believe a significant portion of the revenue will come from it. Therefore, be careful when choosing the performance metrics you base your decisions on. I think the best metric currently for evaluating any segment is proxy workflow, as it's the true revenue stream for cloud computing providers.

This doesn't mean there is n't a market for pure inference workloads, where multi- stage processes or many tool calls aren't required, but it won't be the primary market. I believe the primary market will be through proxy workloads, and the Vera Rubin significantly outperforms other performance metrics, delivering far better results than any other available solution.

The Vera Rubin is a remarkable improvement over the GP300 processors in terms of performance versus cost. The Vera Rubin offers 67 times higher total throughput per total cost of ownership compared to the GP300 Dynamics processor.

They also have a wide variety of proxy inference workloads. You can see significant throughput improvements in the Vera Rubin from Nvidia. I really wanted to showcase this because Nvidia is the ultimate choice. It truly is.

这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断

Jose Najarro Stocks 在这只股票上共 12 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-18看涨本条
以及一些影响 MetaPlatforms 和 Nvidia 的事情。
2026-09-16看涨
但你可以看到,就连 Nvidia 上一季度的指引方式,他们显示毛利率为 75%,然后下一季度为 74%,股市就出现了恐慌。你们还记得,我们当时因为毛利率从 75% 降到 74% 就下跌了大约 4% 到 5%。然后到了再下一年,是 73% 或 73.5%。所以我认为,人们很快就会习惯公司所承受的利润率水平。
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