$NVDA

NVDA 的多头逻辑得到 1500 亿美元回购与 AI 安全平台发布的支撑,同时注意到股价在历史高点附近面临技术阻力。

看涨他说的是几周内
《Bull v. Bear: NVDA Building Open Agent Safety Program, Buying Back $150B in Shares》
Schwab Network发布 2026-09-28 · 26 段内容
00:03/ —打开原视频

逐段跳播

26 段内容
0:038:53

Nvidia宣布了美国历史上规模最大的股票回购。这家市值数万亿美元的巨头宣布同意回购价值1500亿美元的股票。这使已获授权的回购总规模达到2350亿美元,受此消息推动,公司股价大幅上涨,即便大盘表现疲软。

Nvidia announces the largest share buyback in US history . The multi- trillion-dollar giant announced its agreement to repurchase $150 billion worth of shares. This brings the total value of authorized buybacks to $235 billion, and the company's shares are seeing a significant rise on the back of this news, even amid a weak market.

与此同时,随着对人工智能的审查日益加强,Nvidia正在推出一个软件平台,旨在保护人工智能系统免受开发者施加的控制。

Meanwhile, as scrutiny of artificial intelligence increases, Nvidia is launching a software platform designed to protect AI systems from controls imposed by developers.

该公司指出,其新的系统安全开放平台使企业能够限制系统可以访问的内容并监控其活动。此次发布正值多起事件之后,在这些事件中,人工智能系统据称失控并侵入了测试环境。

The company notes that its new open platform for systems security enables companies to restrict what systems can access and monitor their activities. This launch comes in the wake of incidents in which AI systems allegedly went out of control and infiltrated test environments.

Nvidia表示,Microsoft、Cisco、Oracle及其他科技公司都参与了这个项目。

Nvidia reports that Microsoft, Cisco, Oracle and other technology companies are involved in this project.

如你所知,这对整个人工智能板块来说都是重大利好。Jensen Huang宣布这一智能体安全平台,缓解了围绕人工智能及其毁灭人类潜力所存在的紧张与恐慌。

As you know, this is great news for the entire artificial intelligence sector. Jensen Huang's announcement of this agent security platform has eased tensions and panic surrounding artificial intelligence and its potential to destroy humanity.

他们还做出了另一个重要决定,那就是他们的股票是市场上估值最低的。因此,他们将股票回购计划增加到2350亿美元,增加了1500亿美元。

They also made another important decision, which is that their stock is the least valued in the market. Therefore, they increased their share buyback program to $235 billion, an increase of $150 billion.

大家都在谈论Nvidia的评级。你们给自家股票带来了强劲提振。它正逼近历史最高点。如你所知,他很有机会达到这一水平。我不知道它是否会达到,但它现在已回升至或接近230美元,这非常积极。

Everyone is talking about Nvidia's rating. You have given your stock a strong boost. It is approaching its all-time high. As you know, he has a very good chance of reaching this level.

I don't know if it will arrive, but it's now back up to or near $230, which is very positive.

回购股票类似于Jensen Huang在表明,当前的估值就是我们股票的估值。这是最优的投资策略。我认为,这个全面的安全平台缓解了人们对人工智能的担忧。我认为这对AI股票来说是美好的一天。

Repurchasing shares is similar to Jensen Huang stating that the current valuation is the valuation of our shares. This is the optimal investment strategy. This comprehensive security platform, I believe, alleviates concerns about artificial intelligence. I think it's a good day for AI stocks .

嗯,我认为如果你听了Jensen Huang在描述这个开放代理安全平台时的一些言论,它会充当浏览器的代理,对吧?它将成为一种工程解决方案,用来解决一个迄今未被监控或未被充分监控的问题。

Well, I think if you listened to some of Jensen Huang's comments as he described this open proxy security platform , it would act as a proxy for browsers, right? It will be an engineering solution to a problem that has not been monitored or adequately monitored so far.

而他正是这么做的,因为他需要人工智能脱颖而出,就像其他所有人一样,对吧?因此,他借助一种工程解决方案来应对这个问题。

And that's what he did, because he needs artificial intelligence to excel, just like everyone else, right? Therefore, he resorted to an engineering solution to address this problem.

此外,正如Kevin提到的,NVIDIA的估值,其预期市盈率为18倍,而竞争对手中有些是这一数字的两倍或三倍。所以,是的,股价确实偏低。那他们为什么不回购自家股票呢?

Then add to that, as Kevin mentioned, NVIDIA’s valuation , where the projected earnings multiple was 18 times, while competitors have double or triple that number for some of them.

So, yes, the stock price was low . So why don't they buy back their shares?

这听起来更像是Warren Buffett此时的做法,他向华尔街表示:“我们的股票很便宜,我们将把更多自由现金流投入到回购自家股票上,而不是现在投资于其他公司或购买其他公司的股票。”

所以,是的,当你能够制定一项发展人工智能的计划、为所有用户提供更好的未来保障时,这是一个非常好的解决方案。

This sounds more like Warren Buffett's actions at this point, as he tells Wall Street: "Our stocks are cheap, and we will invest more of our free cash flow in buying our own stock, rather than investing in other companies or buying other companies' stocks right now."

So, yes, it is a very good solution when you can put in place a plan for developing artificial intelligence with better future guarantees for all its users.

你在关于Nvidia和这个新的开放代理安全平台的讲话中提到了这一点。他们的合作伙伴关系广泛覆盖各个技术领域。所以,这很可能是一件积极的事,因为它将使他们能够卖出更多芯片,而这正是他们的目标,他们现在正试图把全部产品都卖出去。

You mentioned this in your talk about Nvidia and this new open proxy security platform. Their partnerships are wide-ranging across various fields of technology. So, this is likely to be a positive thing, as it will enable them to sell more chips, which is what they are aiming for, and they are trying to sell all of their products now.

我今天的交易是一笔卡塔尔式买入期权。它延续数周,直到10月16日的到期日。以当前市场价格买入执行价为230的看涨期权。看本周,到10月2日的预期波动,我总结一下,是7.40美元。

所以,买入执行价为230的看涨期权,并在10月2日卖出执行价为237.50的看涨期权,这是一笔7.50美元的对角看涨期权,Tom。

My trade today is a Qatari buy option. It extends for a few weeks until the expiry date of October 16. Buying a call option at 230 at the current market price. Looking at this week, the expected movement until October 2nd is, I will summarize it, $7.40.

So, buy the call option at 230, and sell the call option at 237.50 on October 2nd, which is a diagonal call option at $7.50, Tom.

这个期权给你带来Nvidia股票约23、22、23的多头Delta,因此它偏向上行,但它包含一个内置的垂直价差策略,相比被认为更偏空的日历价差,它在这个价差中给你更大的力量。这是一笔嵌入了垂直价差的日历价差,Tom。

你之前看到的亏损约为590,现在它的交易价已超过6.25,所以该股现在上涨了,Tom。

This option gives you a long delta of around 23, 22 , 23 in Nvidia stock, so it is skewed to the upside, but it includes a built-in vertical spread strategy that gives you more power in this spread compared to a calendar spread which is considered more negative.

This is a calendar spread with an embedded vertical spread, Tom. The loss you were looking at was around 590, and it's now trading at over 6.25, so the stock is up now, Tom.

这里是一个为期两周的看涨卡塔尔式买入策略,Kevin给了我们一个交易示例。我们转向10月16日、18天后到期的月度期权,买入执行价为230的看涨期权。这是该策略的正面部分。短期内,10月2日卖出周度看涨期权,这些期权下周五到期,也就是4天后,执行价为237.5,如果股价达到该水平,将代表一个新的历史高点。

Here, a bullish Qatari buying strategy spanning two weeks, and Kevin has given us an example of a trade. We move to monthly options with a date of October 16th that expire after 18 days, and we buy the call option at an execution price of 230.

This is the positive side of this strategy. In the short term, the weekly call options are being sold on October 2, which expire next Friday, i.e., after 4 days, at an execution price of 237.5, which would represent a new historical high if the stock reaches it.

但正如你在风险图中看到的,如果你支付了Kevin提到的5.90美元折价,现在价格很可能高出约0.30美元,因为自我们上次查看以来该股又上涨了约一美元。但你将支付的折价就是你的回报,所以你支付的价格仍然低于卡塔尔对这笔买入期权的报价。

But as you can see in the risk profile, if you paid the $5.90 discount, as Kevin mentioned, the price is likely about $0.30 higher now because the stock has gone up about another dollar since we last looked at this.

But the discount you will pay will be your return, so you are still paying less than Qatar's offer of this buy option.

正如你在风险图中看到的,盈利在执行价237.5处或附近达到峰值,这大约相当于市场看涨期权价格的一个标准差。由于你支付的价格不到7.50美元看涨期权买价的一半,任何高于约232的价格都会让你获利。

As you can see in the risk profile, the profitability peaks at or near an execution price of 237.5, which represents approximately one standard deviation of the market call option price.

Since you are paying less than half the bid of the $7.50 bullish call option, any price above approximately 232 will make you a profit.

正如Kevin所提到的,随着到期日在未来四天内临近,你将有机会以237.5的执行价格对看涨期权上的看跌期权进行展期。请记住,共有三个周期权,分别在周一、周三和周五到期。因此,你可以选择希望展期到哪一系列期权,以构建你想要的余额。

累积余额会降低盈亏平衡点,从而降低这笔交易的风险。所以,请记住这一点。

As Kevin mentioned, with the expiry date approaching in the next four days, you will have the opportunity to extend the put option on the call option at an execution price of 237.5.

Remember that there are three weekly options , which expire on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. Therefore, you can choose which option you wish to extend to the series of options you want to create balances.

Building up balances lowers the breakeven point, thereby reducing the risk in this transaction . So, keep that in mind.

在未来四天内,执行价格为237.5的卖出看涨期权也存在一些配置风险。但这里的思路是,你越早开始累积资金,潜在盈利能力就越大,而且每当市场开盘时你在任何潜在展期上能够累积资金,每次的风险就越低。

There are also some allocation risks on the short buy option with an execution price of 237.5 over the next four days. But the idea here is that the sooner you start accumulating funds, the greater the potential profitability, and the lower the risk each time you are able to accumulate funds on any potential extensions when the markets open.

因此,这是一个激进的策略,但并不过分激进,因为按百分比计算,Kevin并不需要价格大幅上涨突破232或233的水平,就能进入这个看涨期权的盈利区间。

Therefore, this was an aggressive strategy, but not excessively so, because Kevin does not need, in percentage terms, a large price increase to break above the 232 or 233 level to reach the profitability range in this bullish option.

我,Kevin,采取了更为被动的做法,选择了10月16日的月度买入期权,距到期日还有18天。我查看了该股此前达到的最高水平,大约236.5,但那是在5月份,而且是它的历史最高点。所以,我们距离那些水平仍有约2%的距离。

I, Kevin, took a more passive approach, choosing the monthly purchase option on October 16, 18 days before the expiry date . I looked at the highest level the stock reached previously, around 236.5, but that was in May, and it's its all-time high.

So, we are still about 2% away from those levels.

因此,我以5美元卖出了一个垂直看涨期权,我以237.5的执行价格卖出看涨期权,并以242.5的执行价格买入看涨期权。也就是说,仅以5美元的价格,赚取约1.40美元的利润。正如我们提到的,该股目前交易在更高的水平,价格上涨了1.60美元,但你赚取的这部分利润就是你能实现的。

Therefore, I sold a vertical call option at $5, I sold the call option at an execution price of 237.5, and I bought the call option at an execution price of 242.5. That is, for a price of only $5, making a profit of approximately $1.40.

The stock is currently trading at a higher level, as we mentioned, with its price rising by $1.60, but this profit you are making is what you can achieve.

所以,如果你筹集40美元,那就是140美元,风险约为360美元,但这远高于242.5美元,Cavett在这种情况下将盈亏平衡点提高到238.90美元。因此,在这种情况下,在亏损开始之前我有一个安全边际。

So, if you raise $40, that is $140 with a risk of about $360 , but that's much higher than $242.5, Cavett raises the breakeven point in this case to $238.90. Therefore , I have a safety margin before losses start in this case.

是的,但Tom的垂直期权空头执行价格高于该股的历史最高点,因此,除了已支付的余额外,价格变得更高。盈亏平衡点高于该股的历史最高点。

Yes, but Tom's short strike price on his vertical option is higher than the stock's all-time high, and therefore, in addition to the paid balance, the price becomes higher. The breakeven point is higher than the stock's all-time high.

所以,如果你正在考虑交易或投资这只股票,你应该与自己进行的辩论是:你认为它会超越其历史最高点吗?因为它多次未能突破。我们不知道这只股票是否会超越它,但这只股票往往在达到历史最高点时回落。

So, you know, the debate you should have with yourself if you are thinking about trading or investing in this stock is: Do you think it will surpass its all- time high or not? Because he failed to overcome it several times.

We have no idea whether the stock will surpass it, but this stock tends to pull back when it reaches an all- time high.

这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 16 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-09-28看涨本条
Nvidia宣布了美国历史上规模最大的股票回购。这家市值数万亿美元的巨头宣布同意回购价值1500亿美元的股票。这使已获授权的回购总规模达到2350亿美元,受此消息推动,公司股价大幅上涨,即便大盘表现疲软。
2026-09-28看涨
让我们聚焦于 Nvidia 公司的走势图。它今天表现异常出色,上涨了 2.7%,同比涨幅达到约 30%。
原话 00:02 ›
看完整历史 ›
美股听风