SMH 的价格走势暗示，因缺乏反弹动能，将持续下行并穿越 50% 通道水平，目标支撑位为 509-503.63。
逐段跳播
好，接下来看SMH。我们看到SMH在日线时间框架上收涨。你看到了吗？今天它是上涨的，涨了0.1%。我们全天都处于更高水平，甚至高于昨天的日内高点。但我们做了什么？我们又在这个平行通道的50%区域附近稳定下来。
我要提醒你，昨天在下跌途中我们正好触及了这个位置，反弹上来之后，此后就一直在平行通道50%区域的上方徘徊。通常来说，这并不太好，各位。你希望看到的是大幅下跌、触及一个支撑位，然后开始产生反弹动能，从而能够重新向上攻击前方的阻力位。
但相反，我们只是在这个平行通道50%区域的上方附近徘徊。就像，如果明天没有FOMC，我会更加看空，会说这种价格走势实际上暗示我们将继续下跌，穿过平行通道的50%区域。那么，如果真是这样，我们会走到哪里？
一个明确的目标就是下方这条平行通道的下沿区间，正好在509。如果我们放大到这里看7月29日，可以看到我们非常接近那个区间，在50363。所以，大约在509到50363之间，将是SMH上非常强的支撑。
上行方面，突破这条下降趋势线将是SMH在555和17面前的第一道考验。
All right, next up into the SMH. We see the SMH on the daily time frame did finish positive. You see this? It was one in the green today. So it was up.1%. We were higher throughout the course of the day, even higher than yesterday's high of the day uh too.
But what did we do? We settled in again right here on this 50% area of the parallel channel. That I remind you too, we tagged precisely on the way down yesterday, bounced up and since have really just settled in right here on top of that 50% area of the parallel.
Normally that's not really good, guys. You want to see a big fall, hit a level of support, and then start producing momentum for a bounce so it can go back up and attack the resistance that's ahead of it.
Instead, we're just lingering right around on top of this uh 50% area of the parallel. Like, if we didn't have the FOMC tomorrow, I would be much more bearish, saying that this price action is actually implying we're going to continue to go down through the 50% area of the parallel.
Now, if that is the case, where would we go? Well, a clear destination would be right down here at the bottom range of this parallel channel right at 509. And if we zoom over here to July 29th, we can see we got very close to that range at 50363.
So, right around 509 to 50363 will be an awful lot of support on the SMH. to the upside. Getting above this declining trend line will be the first test in front of SMH at 555 and 17
观察点
这个频道对 $SMH 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 10 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。