在震荡的价格走势中，预计 SPY 将跌破 755，向 750 靠拢。
逐段跳播
然后突然之间，你必须知道，我们在区间中的什么位置，spies在哪里，它是守住756还是跌破756？
Then all of a sudden you have to know, you know, where we are in the range, where are the spies, you know, is it holding 756 or is it breaking 756?
这是spy。我们从开盘就直接下跌。值得注意的是，我们正直接穿过VWAP。
Uh here's this spy. So we sold off right from the open. What's notable about this is that we are going right through the VWAP.
顺便看一下 SPY。开盘后出现了一波回落，随后重新收复了 VWAP。可以看到它并没有完全收复那条粉色或品红色的线，那就是 9 EMA。这就是交易零日到期期权时这个机器人的样子。
所以这里的这波回落和反弹，有点像是假动作，目前还没有真正站上那个位置。我就把它称作 760。所以目前这里还没有交易。我们现在实际上已经进入了交易窗口一。看看能不能触发，但到目前为止情况就是这样。
Um, by the way, looking at SPY here. So, we had that pull out of the open. We had a recapture of VWAP. You'll see it did not quite recapture the pink or the magenta line there.
That's going to be your 9 EMA. That's what the bot looks like for trading zero DTE. So, this pull and bounce here, a little bit of a head fake. Did not quite get above that se at this point.
I'm just going to call it 760. So, uh, no trades here yet. We're actually in the trade one window now. We'll see if we get it, but um, that's where we're at here so far.
这就是 SPY 上的 Q。我们来看一下这里的情况。看起来它正在上来测试那条 9 EMA。看看能不能站上去。结构破位发生在 761。
That's the Q's on the spy. Let's take a look and see what that looks like here. Looks like this is coming up to test that 9 EMA. We'll see if we get above it. Break of structure occurs at 761.
是的，说到市场，13，我很高兴你提到这一点，因为我一直在关注这里的一笔交易。我一直在看 SPY，也一直在看 Q。我真正想重点做的一件事，就是让这个机器人在零日到期期权上做更多最终能盈利的交易，因为它们太快、太迅速了。
所以我对这一点格外关注。注意我们刚才谈到的内容。VWAP 的回落收复让这里看起来相当不错。但在 9 EMA 处的受阻回落，才是真正把它压下去的原因。现在，我们已经谈了很多关于震荡的问题，以及我们对今天和明天美联储会议前后的预期。
所以，也许这在这里就是常态。但对这些东西要小心。这看起来确实像是一次反弹的假动作。而 SPY 的故事还不止于此。在 Q 上出现了完全一样、或者几乎完全一样的情况。不过 Q 确实站上了那条 9 EMA。你可以看到它现在正在那条线附近徘徊。
Yeah, and speaking of the market there, 13, I'm glad that you said that because I've been watching basically for a trade here. I've been watching the spy and I've been watching the cues.
One of the things I'm really trying to focus in on is really getting the bot to take more trades that end up being profitable with the zero DTE options because they're so fast and so quick.
So, I'm paying a little bit of extra attention to this. Note what we were just talking about. The pull recapture of the VWAP had this looking pretty good. The rejection at the 9 EMA though, that is really what sent this lower here.
Now, we've talked a lot about chop here um and and with what we're kind of expecting here for the day and into tomorrow for the Fed meeting. So, maybe this is just going to kind of be part for the course here.
But be careful with these things. This this definitely looked like a bounce head fake. And the story doesn't stop there on the spy. You had the exact same thing or almost the exact same thing happened here on the Q's.
Now, the Q's did move above that 9 EMA. You can see it is flirting with that right now.
好。现在看 SPY，这里的展望一直在变。这是 SPY。首先，这整个走势对应的是标普期货上对 VWAP 的 15 分钟回测。所以到目前为止，标普期货在试图守住 VWAP。现在看 SPY，我们有一个更高的低点，并且正在重新收复 VWAP，或者说正在测试它。
我会再次关注 759.85。看看如果它重新收复那条 9 EMA 会发生什么。
Okay. And now the spy this is, you know, it the the outlook here keeps changing. So here's the spy. First of all, th this entire move corresponds with a 15minute retest of the VWAP on the S&P futures.
So, so far S&P futures trying to hold VWAP. Now, SPY, we have a higher low and we have a recapture of VWAP or a test of that going on right now. I would again watch the 759.85. See what happens if this recaptures that 9 EMA.
SPY、Q，不行。这正在向下滚落。我们确实向下打破了结构。SPY 上出现了更低的高点、更低的低点，向下结构破位。
spy cues, no bueno. Uh this is rolling over. We did break the structure to the downside. We have a lower high, lower low, break of structure to the downside on the spy.
我向群里承诺过，至少会问一下你对 SPY 的看法。所以我们被夹在 755 和 765 之间。所以我的猜测是，我们很可能会看到在 755 下方出现某种流动性扫荡。而如果他们把我们抬到它上方，他们就会试图守住它。
I promised the group that I would at least ask you what your thought was on the spy. so we are caught between 755 and 765. And so my suspicion is that we probably are going to see some kind of liquidity sweep under that 755.
And if they lift us above it, they're going to try and hold it.
他看的是日线上的五条简单移动平均线，对吧？这对他来说算是件大事。所以我们就直接在 4 小时线上看它，因为它给了我们非常扎实的趋势。
he looks at the five simple moving average on the daily, right? It's uh it's kind of a big deal for him. And so we're going to look at it on the 4our right here simply because it's just giving us really very solid trend.
如果我有任何画趋势线的本事，我就会从上五周五的 775 画一条线到我们现在所处的位置，而市场正试图在这里筑底。他们在试图守住它。
If I had any skills as a trend line person, I would have drawn this move up from 775 on Friday of last week to where we are sitting right now and the market is trying to bottom here. They are trying to hold it.
你知道，周线图上那里有一个看跌期权墙。我们有旧阻力变成新支撑。我们有 8 月那一周这个庞然大物。记住，8 月来势汹汹，第一周就给了我们一根巨大的蜡烛，而我们之后只是一路从这个区间里漏下去。
You know, there's a there's a put wall down there from a weekly chart. We have old resistance as new support. We have this monstrosity of an August week. Remember, August came in like a lion and just gave us that first week that was mon just a huge candlestick and we've done nothing but leak right through it.
所以我的猜测是，我们实际上会回到 750。目前市场上有太多相互交织的逆流，除非我们能看明确的、非常强的周线支撑或阻力，否则很难选择方向性形态。
So my suspicion is that we actually do get back to 750. We have so many crossurrens going right now in the market that it is very hard to choose directional formations unless we can see active and very strong weekly support or resistance.
如果我们看日线，如果我们看 4 小时线，如果我们看任何类似的东西，它都会给我们大量的横盘压力。而这正是现在很多交易者正在经历的情况。他们被困在那种价格走势的逆流中，让我们觉得，哦，也许我们能守住，也许我们守不住。
If we look at the days, if we look at the 4hour, if we look at anything like that, it's going to give us a ton of sideways pressure. And that really is what's happening to a lot of traders right now.
They're getting caught in that crosscurrent of price action that makes us think, oh, well, maybe we're going to hold, maybe we're not going to hold.
但今天随着我们向下漂移，我的猜测是我们会漏进 755 到 756 这个区域。所以我仍然会说，在 30 分钟图上，这给我们的反弹总体上会把我们引向卖出区。
But today as we are drifting down, my suspicion is that we leak into this 755 756 area. So I would still say on a 30 minute chart this is giving us bounces that lead us to sell zones in general.
我怀疑今天临近收盘时他们会试图平掉它，就像看看 SPY 这里发生了什么。隔夜时段，我发现这一点极其有意思。隔夜时段，我们一路承受着所有这些下行压力，做空、做空、做空，一直到大约 5:30，也就是欧洲开盘之后，每个交易者都平仓。他们就是平仓。嘿，我在盘前是做空的。
I would suspect that towards the end of the day today they're going to try to unwind it just like take a look at what happened here in SPY. In the overnight found this to be supremely interesting.
In the overnight, we had all of this downward pressure short short short all the way down until about 5:30, which is after Europe opens up and every single trader unwinds. They just unwind. Hey, I was short at the pre-market.
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
Benzinga 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。