$BABA

BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited American Depositary Shares each representing eight Ordinary share · Alibaba Group Holding Limited American Depositary Shares each representing eight Ordinary share

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08-23 → 08-30 · 美东
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08-30
Alibaba - Adjusting My Intrinsic Value Calculation
$BABA看跌
阿里巴巴的内在价值必须下调;该公司六年来未能实现增长,仍是一家零售商,当前估值无法由AI前景所支撑。

阿里巴巴公布了财报。股价对此作出反应。在过去一两年里,它涨跌很大,但我们必须看看内在价值是多少,如何调整,市盈率是多少,投资的风险和回报是什么。

Alibaba reported earnings. It's the stock reacted. It goes up and down a lot in the last year or two, but we have to see how is the intrinsic value, how to adjust that, the P ratio, what is the risk and reward of investing.

他们宣布发行100亿美元的股票。盈利,如果我们看盈利,比如说,“好吧,增长9%,电商增长4%,云增长45%,AI增长16%。”

They have announced 10 billion [snorts] dollars issuance of shares. Earnings, if we look at earnings, if you say, "Okay, 9% growth, e-commerce 4% growth, cloud 45% growth, AI 16% growth."

然后我稍微看一下现金流。经营活动产生30亿美元,资本支出90亿美元,导致负65亿美元。削减股票回购。之前是600亿美元的现金,现在降到300亿美元。回购被削减。巨额资本支出用于发展AI。

Then I look a little bit at the cash flows. 3 billion from operating activities, 9 billion CAPEX leading to 6 and 1/2 billion negative. Cut the share repurchases. The cash that was 60 billion a while ago is going down to 30 billion. Repurchases cut. Huge capital expenditures to grow into AI.

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