Nvidia的大规模股票回购与产品创新彰显管理层信心,支撑对该股的看多观点。
逐段跳播
Nvidia 和 AMD 刚刚彻底改变了人工智能市场。Nvidia 刚刚宣布了一项大规模股票回购计划。他们还宣布了在 AI 智能体安全方面的一项新创新,考虑到他们的推进速度之快,这令人印象深刻。
Nvidia and AMD have just completely changed the artificial intelligence market . Nvidia has just announced a massive share buyback program. They have announced a new innovation in the security of AI agents , which is impressive given how quickly they are moving.
Nvidia 正在改变整个市场,这让我对正在发生的事情感到非常兴奋。我们看到该股在日间上涨了约 1.7%。在盘后交易中,该股上涨了约 0.25%。
Nvidia is changing the entire market and that makes me very excited about what's happening. We see that the stock rose by about 1.7% during the day. In after-hours trading, the stock rose by approximately 0.25%.
首先,Nvidia 宣布将其股票回购授权增加 1500 亿美元,使剩余回购计划总额达到 2350 亿美元。这太疯狂了。
First, Nvidia announces a $150 billion increase in its share buyback authorization, bringing the total remaining program to $235 billion . This is crazy.
这家公司用这种规模的资金可以收购很多公司,不是吗?这确实令人印象深刻。
This company could buy many companies with this type of money, couldn't it? It is truly impressive.
我认为 Jensen 和团队正试图证明这一点,并给投资者信心,对吧?因为 Nvidia 这么说意味着:“我相信 AI 市场仍处于早期阶段。我宁愿继续投资自己。我宁愿再花 2350 亿美元回购这家市值 5 万亿美元公司的股票。”
我认为这显示出管理层极大的乐观和信心,你不觉得吗?
I think Jensen and the team are trying to demonstrate that and give confidence to investors, right ? Because Nvidia saying this means, "Hey, I believe the AI market is still in its early stages .
I'd rather continue investing in myself. I'd rather spend another $235 billion buying back shares of the company with a market capitalization of $5 trillion ." I think that shows a lot of optimism and confidence on the part of management, don't you ?
而不是把钱投到别处,对吧?如果他们投资 2350 亿美元,那是因为他们相信这笔钱在未来会值更多。公司预计将在 2028 财年之前执行完整个剩余计划。目前他们正处于 2027 财年。
他们已经完成了一半。所以,他们是在说,在未来大约 18 个月内,他们将把这 2350 亿美元用于回购。
Rather than putting it elsewhere, right? If they're investing $235 billion , it's because they believe that money will be worth much more in the future. The company expects to execute the entire remaining program through fiscal year 2028.
Right now, they're in fiscal year 2027. They're already halfway there. So, they're saying that over the next 18 months or so, they're going to spend this $235 billion on buybacks.
这太疯狂了,尤其是当我给你看这张图时,对吧?如果把过去 10 年的回购计划加起来,也 barely 达到 1000 亿,对吧?在过去 10 年里。所以,这显示出他们将在未来仅仅 18 个月内花掉 2350 亿美元。
That's crazy, especially when I show you this picture , right? That if you add up the buyback programs of the last 10 years, it barely reaches 100 billion, right ? In the last 10 years .
So, it shows how they're going to spend $235 billion in just the next 18 months.
Jensen 继续说道:“Nvidia 的增长由一次独特的、一代人一遇的向人工智能和加速计算平台转型所推动,”Jensen 补充道,“我们的现金创造能力使我们有能力投资于推动这一转型的技术,并向股东返还资本。”这一授权反映了我们对未来长期机会的信心。
Jensen continues, " Nvidia's growth Powered by a unique, once-in-a-generation platform shift toward artificial intelligence and accelerated computing,” Jensen adds, “our cash generation gives us the ability to invest in technologies that drive this shift and return capital to shareholders.”
This mandate reflects our confidence in the long- term opportunities ahead.
再说一次,如果他们投入所有这些钱,那是因为他们相信现在买入的东西未来会成倍增值。而且我认为,当公司目前的远期市盈率约为 19 倍时,这激发了很多信心。
Again, if they are investing all this money, it’s because they believe that what they are buying now will multiply in value in the future. And I think that inspires a lot of confidence when the company is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of around 19.
而这些数字是基于分析师的预测。我很确定未来 12 个月的实际市盈率会比这更低,对吧?可能会在 17 倍甚至 16 倍左右,因为分析师仍然低估了 Nvidia 的增长潜力。
And those numbers are based on analyst forecasts. I’m pretty sure the actual P/E ratio for the next 12 months will be even cheaper than that, right? It’ll probably be around 17 or even 16, because analysts are still underestimating Nvidia’s growth potential .
所以,我相信 Nvidia 正在审视自己的财务状况,并问自己:“我现在在哪里能让我的钱获得更好的回报?”而令人印象深刻的是,其中一个选项,也是他们将大力投资的选项,就是 Nvidia 股票。
So, I’m sure Nvidia is reviewing its financials and asking itself, “Where can I get a better return on my money right now?” "And it's impressive to see that one of these options, and the one they're going to be heavily investing in, is Nvidia stock.
所以,市场喜欢这一点,喜欢这种做法。显然,与公司的市值相比,这不是一笔巨款,但已经接近了,不是吗?大约 5%,不是吗?那是 5%。这并非微不足道,不是吗?这不是小事,不是吗?10% 意味着 5000 亿美元的回购,但 5% 也不小。
So, the market loves that, loves that approach. Obviously , compared to the company's market capitalization, it's not a huge amount, but it's close, is n't it? To about 5 %, isn't it?
That's 5%. That's not insignificant, is it? It's not a small thing, is it? 10% means a $ 500 billion buyback, but 5% isn't small.
所以,他们对公司非常有信心,而这让我作为投资者感到兴奋。
So, they have a lot of confidence in the company, and that excites me as an investor.
接下来,我们还有另一个事件。Nvidia 推出了 Open Agent Safety 平台,以保障智能体从测试到部署的安全。我认为这真的很有趣,对吧?
Next, we have another event. Nvidia launched the Open Agent Safety platform to secure agents from testing to deployment. And I think that's really interesting, right?
Nvidia 真的很擅长这一点。当 Nvidia 看到一个问题时,他们不会抱怨、发牢骚或什么都不做,而是迅速跟上并着手解决,对吧?他们付出了努力。
Nvidia is really good at this. When Nvidia sees a problem, instead of complaining or whining or doing nothing , they get up to speed and work on it, right ? They put in the effort.
所以,Nvidia 创建了这个开源解决方案来提高 AI 智能体的安全性。而且他们已经表明,很多人已经在与他们合作。像 Anthropic、SpaceX 和 Perplexity 这样的公司。
So, Nvidia created this open-source solution to improve the safety of AI agents . And they've shown that a lot of people are already working with them. Companies like Anthropic, companies like SpaceX, and Perplexity.
但 Nvidia 看到了 AI 基础设施存在问题,不是吗?所以他们最终转向了 Neo Cloud。建设数据中心存在问题,于是他们提供了 DGX 平台。存在资金问题,于是他们介入并解决了,对吧?
他们不只是抱怨。他们付诸实施。现在智能体安全方面又出现了问题。所以,他们没有抱怨,而是在构建解决方案。
But Nvidia saw that there was a problem with the AI infrastructure, didn't they ? So They ended up turning to Neo Cloud. There was a problem with building data centers, so they offered the DGX platform.
There were funding issues, so they stepped in and got it done, right ? They don't just complain about it. They implement it. Now there's an issue with agent security and safety.
So instead of complaining, they're building a solution.
他们表示,OpenShell 提供了安全的运行边界,在智能体于 Nvidia Vera CPU 上运行时,能够追踪所有操作并执行策略。他们提到,你可以将其运行在第三方计算平台上,包括来自 ARM 和 Intel 的平台。
They stated that OpenShell provides secure operating boundaries that track all actions and enforce policies while the agents are running on Nvidia Vera CPUs. They mentioned that you can run it on third-party computing platforms, including those from ARM and Intel.
他们还提到,Century 正在增加一套带外监控系统,运行在 Nvidia BlueField 4 CPU 上,以持续监控智能体的行为。Century 能够在几分之一秒内隔离那些试图越出边界的智能体。
They also mentioned that Century is adding an out-of-band monitoring system running on Nvidia BlueField 4 CPUs to constantly monitor agent behavior. Century can isolate agents that try to move outside their boundaries in fractions of a second.
现在,我从这里得到了一些信息。首先,Nvidia 拥有大量出色的解决方案和大量优秀的产品,可以用来继续构建这个一体化生态系统,对吧?这个一体化生态系统。我认为这很棒。
Now, there are a few things I've gleaned from here. First, Nvidia has a lot of great solutions and a lot of excellent products that they can use to continue building this integrated ecosystem, right ?
This integrated ecosystem. I think that's great.
另一件事是,似乎会有一部分算力被专门用于安全和监控,对吧?你去看,这也会限制算力池,对吧?如果你现在有比如说 100 吉瓦的算力,但在这 100 吉瓦之内,你必须花 10 吉瓦用于监控算力。
那么你实际上只有 90 吉瓦的算力,对吧?所以,如果 AI 智能体的故事继续发展,你对安全和监控的需求很可能也会随之增长。
The other thing is that it seems there's a certain computing power that will be dedicated solely to safety and monitoring, right ? You go and that also limits the computing pool , right?
If you now have, say, 100 gigawatts of computing, but within that 100 gigawatts, you have to spend 10 gigawatts on monitoring computing. So you effectively only have 90 gigawatts of computing, right ?
So, if the story of AI agents continues to grow, your need for safety and monitoring is likely to grow as well.
所以,如果你从非常宏观的角度来看,这是一个有趣的举动,对吧?就它可能如何改变算力叙事而言。这说得有点多了,不是吗?我们需要对此做更多研究,但它表明,安全目前可能会带来更多算力需求,这对半导体公司、新兴云服务商,以及任何拥有有效电力的人来说都非常有利。
So, it's an interesting move if you look at it from a very broad perspective , right? In terms of how this could change the computing narrative. That's more than I'm trying to say, isn't it?
We need to do more research on this, but it shows that safety right now might bring more demand for computing, which is very positive for semiconductor companies, new cloud players, and anyone who has Effective power.
现在,我想谈谈这一点。我提到过,我没有亲眼见到的参与者之一,也许我记错了,是与 Nvidia 合作中的 Open AI。
Now, I want to talk about this. I mentioned that one of the players I haven't seen in person, and I might be mistaken, was Open AI in that partnership with Nvidia.
Hugging Face 的 CEO Clem 指向了拥有 Open AI 的那家公司。据我们所知,这话要打个折扣;我们需要更多透明度。如果 Open AI 一直在用他们的智能体对我们发起攻击,他们本会在我们之前就抓住这些智能体,不是吗?
而这是他转发黄仁勋关于 Open Shell 和 Century 的帖子。所以,这是一个世界,而这个 AI 故事中引发大量担忧的主要事件是:如果这真的奏效,他们就不会发生事故,或者事故会得到多得多的控制。我认为这说明了很多。
Clem, the CEO of Hugging Face, points to the company that had Open AI. From what we know, take it with a grain of salt; we need more transparency. If Open AI had been running this on their agents attacking us, they would have caught them before we did, wouldn't they ?
And this is him retweeting Jensen Huang's post about Open Shell and Century. So, this is a world , and the main incident that raises a lot of concerns in this AI story is: if this really worked, they wouldn't have had an incident, or the incident would have been much more controlled. And I think that says a lot.
再次强调,这清楚地表明 Nvidia 行动有多快。而我认为创新是 Nvidia 持续表现出色的主要体系。也许 Open AI 会说更多,并打电话给黄仁勋说:“是的,我们会签署那封信,我们会使用那个叫 Century 的解决方案,以及那个叫 Watchdog 的解决方案。”也许我们真的需要它。在我们公司这里。
Again, this clearly demonstrates how fast Nvidia moves . And I think innovation is the main system where Nvidia continues to excel. Maybe Open AI will say more and call Jensen and say, " Yes, we'll sign that letter and we'll use that solution called Century and that solution called Watchdog." Maybe we really need it. Here at our company.
对 Nvidia 来说,另一条重大新闻是,据报道 Anthropic 现已签约 2.6 吉瓦的 Nvidia AI 基础设施,出货将持续到 2028 年。在各云服务商中,Neo Cloud 的合同现在价值超过 1800 亿美元。
他们还拥有从 2028-2029 财年开始的 15 年数据中心租约。这些预计将分配给第三方。
Another big piece of news for Nvidia , as Anthropic has reportedly now contracted for 2.6 GW of Nvidia's AI infrastructure with shipments through 2028. Across cloud providers, Neo Cloud's contracts are now worth over $180 billion.
They also have 15-year data center leases starting in fiscal year 2028-2029. These are expected to be allocated to third parties.
所以,Anthropic 和 Nvidia 这件事相当有趣,不是吗?显然,外界和其他参与者正试图对 Anthropic 不使用 Nvidia 或转向其他选择提出担忧。他们在那上面花了很多钱,他们的合作伙伴也在那上面花了很多钱。所以,我真的不会为 Nvidia 担心。
So, this is quite interesting here with Anthropic and Nvidia, isn't it? Obviously, the world and other players are trying to raise concerns about Anthropic not using Nvidia or going for something else.
They're spending a lot of money there, and their partners are spending a lot of money there too. So, I'm really not going to worry about Nvidia.
正如我提到的,Nvidia 将这一授权额度增加了 1500 亿美元,给了我们巨大的信心提振。太疯狂了。太疯狂了。
As I mentioned, Nvidia gave us a massive confidence boost by increasing this mandate by $150 billion. Crazy. Crazy.
我很想看看他们是否会进一步增加。股息也是。我们会看到 Nvidia 股东获得巨额股息派发吗?我也非常期待看到这一点。
I'm eager to see if they'll increase it further. Dividends, too. Are we going to see a huge dividend payout for Nvidia shareholders? I'm very excited to see that, too.
因为 Nvidia 过去发布过开源 AI 模型,不是吗?在各个行业,在机器人领域,在汽车领域,甚至只是在文本领域,不是吗?Nematoron、AlphaMai,名单还在继续。Nvidia 做到了,而 AMD 没有,对吧?这相当清楚。
Because Nvidia has released open-source AI models in the past , hasn't it? In various industries, in robotics, in automotive, even just in text, hasn't it? Nematoron, AlphaMai, the list goes on.
Nvidia did that, while AMD didn't, right? That's quite clear.
所以,这与 Nvidia 正在做的事情有点不同,我并不一定认为那是一个坏迹象。
So, it's a bit different from what Nvidia is doing , and I don't necessarily think that's a bad sign.
这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断
Jose Najarro Stocks 在这只股票上共 16 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。