MU — All updates

Um, MU still looks okay, you know, looks really really tight. It's down a little bit this morning. Um, I I'm long a little mu. I'll probably add a little bit red. You can only add red.

That's that's a crazy thing. like you have to be so surgically good. So I will probably buy a little bit more muou. I I have not added on any strength. But if this market was healthy, it would break above this 970 and continue.

But we don't know if the market's healthy. We don't know if we're going to be down in September.

>> Yeah, the next one is is a very direct beneficiary here and the reason why Nvidia's margins are expected to come down a little bit and that's Micron. Micron, the memory maker.

Now, Nvidia's own CFO said that memory cost increases have exceeded expectations and shortages could persist through fiscal 28. So, that's not a oh maybe Micron is benefiting from it.

It's Micron, SKhing, Samsung, they are benefiting from it today, they will be benefiting from it a year from now as well.

Now, Micron has been one of the biggest success stories in the market over the last couple years, right? I believe this move here from this buy signal up to this sell signal was uh went from 426 to 900.

I unbelievable move right there. Then it was another 12% gain right there. And then basically flat from here to here. And it's been on a sell signal until recently, August 17th, it started to turn around.

And and they them and SKHix and I think Micron are the only three companies in the world that have that bigger rule of 40 which is I mean it speaks to what Palanteer is doing but it's also because those are hardware companies.

there there's there's a reason why Micron and the Neil clouds are up after hours, right? That's a it's a good find, Jose.

What are the chances the AI buildout goes to 2K for Micron? feel the case is stronger than before, but it feels so um you know what really shot up the memory stocks was leverage in Korea.

I hate to say it, I don't love playing off of leverage, but I think what drives a lot of the memory cycle right now is I will show you hold on in our stock tab. I believe it is under the Nvidia tab when we were prepping for the Nvidia earnings.

So Missouo busy this morning across the memory space with an eye on Micron Sandis Applied Materials and Lamb Research. Now it is maintaining outperform ratings across the board which is the equivalent of a buy rating for Micron.

They've lowered the price target to 1300 from 1375 for Sandis. They've lowered it to 1875 from 1900 for AAT down to 590 from 650.

So, here's kind of like what this actually looks like and what I'll be doing. So most people buy them. Well, you can also sell them. Okay? Okay, that's the simple most straightforward story to what investors can start doing to collect upfront income when you sell a LEAP option.

It's just selling a put option. Very, very similar. Okay, so I'll show you what selling a put option looks like.

But uh you know now the question is are we getting visibility potentially into price decreases the second derivative turning negative and if the second derivative turns negative on price and growth and they're not buying back as much as expected what does that mean for a company like Micron who's obviously expecting a significant uh uh buyback market a lot of people are expecting big buybacks here mostly because the executives are like oh yeah we're going to return so much capital shareholders Yeah, that's great.

Cool. That sounds wonderful. But then you get UBS that comes out and UBS is like, "Oh yeah, you know, we're actually we're going to return like I don't know how about how does uh eight uh you know, 40% of the company we're going to buy back potentially 40% of the company sound."

That's great. That helps. Thanks, UBS. But does that actually end up uh driving reality if Micron comes out and says, "Oh yeah, we're going to do a buyback and it's only 10%." Right? Oh, that's disappointing.

Now let's take a look at another very different type of stock. One that's very popular is micron ticker symbol MU. So if you look at micron the question would be how do you value the stock?

Again, which method do you use? Can we use the discounted free free cash flow method, which is my favorite? We cannot because this business doesn't have a history of consistently increasing free cash flow or consistently increasing cash from operations.

There's a stock. It's named Micron, right? One of the big memory chip companies. All these memory chip companies have been getting hit the last couple months, right? They all peaked a couple months ago and they've all been getting hit.

And so M MU I was looking at the stock recently and it's down 30% from highs.