让我们从最明显的 AMD 开始。乍一看,你可能会想,英伟达业绩好对 AMD 难道不是坏事吗?不一定。如果英伟达表示 AI 加速器需求依然巨大,超大规模企业继续增加支出,客户无法获得足够的计算能力,那就证明 AMD 正在一个巨大且不断扩大的市场中竞争。
还记得我几个视频前关于 AMD 的论点吗?AMD 不必击败英伟达,甚至不必赶上英伟达。如果 AI 加速器市场变得足够大,AMD 只需要占据其中有意义的一部分。所以,英伟达的强劲需求实际上可以加强我对 AMD 的论点。
危险在于,如果黄仁勋开始谈论加速器需求减弱,因为那样投资者就不再争论市场份额了,而是在争论整个市场是否在放缓。这对 AMD 来说要糟糕得多。
Let's begin with AMD, the most obvious. At first glance, you might think, well, wouldn't good Nvidia earnings be bad for AMD? Not necessarily. If Nvidia says AI accelerator demand remains enormous, hyperscalers continue increasing their spending, well, customers can't get enough compute, that's evidence that AMD is competing inside an enormous and expanding market.
Remember my AMD thesis in a few videos back. AMD doesn't have to beat Nvidia. They They even have to catch Nvidia. If the AI accelerator market becomes large enough, AMD simply needs to capture a meaningful percentage of it.
So, strong Nvidia demand can actually reinforce my AMD thesis. The danger would be if Jensen starts talking about weakening accelerator demand because then investors aren't debating market share anymore.
They're debating whether the entire market is slowing. That's much worse for AMD.